電池の破壊的技術革命

フィッチは、電気自動車（EV）が競争力を増し、石油需要が想定より早く落ち込むと警鐘を鳴らす。国際エネルギー機関（IEA）によれば、世界の石油需要の55%は車で使うガソリンなどの輸送部門。フィッチは極端なシナリオとして欧州の新車販売の5割がEVの状況が10年続けば、域内ガソリン需要は25%減ると試算する。（日経 朝 20161101 Global Eye）

敵は、恐怖心それ自体にある。（フランクリン・ルーズベルト大統領）

U2は昨年12月6、7の両日、パリでコンサートを開いた。

もともと11月14、15の両日、開催の予定だったが、その前日のISテロ事件で急遽、キャンセルした。

テロは、コンサート・ホール、バタクランで米国のバンド、EODM（イーグルズ・オブ・デス・メタル）の演奏中に起こった。

U2は、恐怖のさめやらぬ3週間後再び、パリで興行した。その際、EODMを招待し、演奏の最後に彼らと一緒にパティ・スミスのPeople Have the Powerを歌った。

U2はアイルランドのバンドである。ここは長い間、アイルランド共和軍(IRA)のテロに苛まれた。リードボーカルのボノ自身、14歳の時、33人の犠牲者を出したダブリンのテロの現場に居合わせたトラウマを引きずっている。

ボノはニューヨーク・タイムズの質問に、次のように答えている。

「テロリズムは人々が恐怖に駆られることを前提にしている。僕たちは絶対にそうはさせない。だから、ロックン・ロールをやる。ロックは生を楽しみ、挑むことを喜びとするからだ」

「化け物をやっつけるために自ら化け物になってはいけない、とアイルランドでは互いに言い聞かせている」

(BUNGEISHUNJU 2016.2, p223）文藝春秋 2016年 02 月号 [雑誌]

どうしてバレてしまったのかＶＷ

世界を揺るがした独フォルクスワーゲン（ＶＷ）によるディーゼルエンジンの排ガス規制逃れで不正を見つける過程使われた機材は、京都市に本社がある計測器メーカー、堀場製作所のポータブル測定器だった。（ﾌﾞﾙｰﾑﾊﾞｰｸﾞ 2015.10.2）

IMF Key Points for 2015 Global Economy

 

 

IMF Key Points for 2015 Global Economy

 

1.経済成長と雇用創出
2.金融セクターの改革（金融監督の高度化、ノンバンクに対する     規制、シャドーバンキングの監視、デリバティブ市場の透明性     と安全性の確保）
3.国ごとに不揃いな「統計」の統一
4.金融業界の文化を変えること
5.マルチラテラリズム（多国間協調主義）
6. 国連気候変動枠組み条約第21回締約国会議(COP21)

(Newsweek January 13, 2015よりまとめ)

外国人投資家 アブナイミックス時期に建てたビルは時価ゼロと算定

日本丸政府は本日、アブナイミックスの時期に建設開始した建築物•オフィスビルについて、中間レビュー制度を導入することにきめた。これは、アブナイミックスの時期は建築業界が人財不足であるため、建物の品質が非常にわるく、あるケースでは不動産鑑定士から、新築なのに時価ゼロ（倒壊のおそれがあるから）の鑑定結果を受けたオフィスビルや高層マンションもある。また労働環境が劣悪で過労死したり飛び下り自殺したりと、建物のバリュー低下に拍車がかかっている。マスコミにも口止めしているはずが、被害者からの内部告発はひけをきらない状態である。これをうけ日本丸政府はやむなく中間レビュー制度を導入。しかし、外国人投資家は、アブナイミックス時期に建てたビルは時価ゼロと算定するとしている。

日本丸新聞が殺菌作用のあるインクを開発

日本丸新聞は、インクに殺菌成分を含む物質をもちいることを決めた。通勤の時に、この新聞紙をもって電車に乗ると、ウイルス感染されにくいという。また新聞のインクで手が黒くなったときは水であらうと石鹸をつけなくても大丈夫で、ちゃんと綺麗になる。このインクを使った本も販売する。こんな抗菌殺菌作用のあるインクを使った新聞や書籍があれば、「紙で読む」ことが「スマホで読む」を打ち破るかもしれない。

日本丸政府が総務庁によるテレビラジオ放送局に対する許認可制度を廃止

日本丸政府は本日の閣議で、総務庁によるテレビラジオ放送局に対する許認可制度を廃止することを決定した。即日法律が改正された。明日より施行される。近年のインターネットの普及により『放送』を定義することは難しく、難しいことは官僚や大臣には理解できず、理解できない者が取締りの役割を担うことは道義に反するとの、閣僚全員一致の判断によるもの。これまで許認可が行き過ぎてテレビ局やラジオ局がお上を気にしすぎ、作る番組が全く面白く無くなり、メディア全体に対するテレビラジオの視聴率が低下し、結果としてスポンサーとなる企業が激減している。テレビラジオ業界内では、テレビ局間やラジオ局間の視聴率などいまやほとんど意味がなく、そもそも他のメディアとの間で負け組になればおしまいだとの危機感があった。そこで、テレビラジオ業界は、インターネットなどを利用した情報の開示や、個人のブログ、ツイッター、フェイスブックにいたるまで、ありとあらゆるものにたいして総務庁が許認可制度を適用すべきだと申し立てたところ、逆に、政府は許認可全面廃止を決定した。これにより、テレビラジオ局は面白く尖った番組を作ることが生き残る道になる。なお、政府も総務庁からテレビラジオ局への天下り制度を廃止し、いま天下っている元官僚をすべて即日退職させた。

めったに起きない出来事に人間は弱いです。

●可能性の効果:めったに起きない結果に対して、確率に見合わない過大な重みがつけられる。

 ●確実性の効果:ほぼ確実な結果につけられる重みは、確実な結果に比して小さすぎる。

Ukraine ultimatum to east activists

Ukraine's interior minister has warned pro-Russian activists who have taken over state buildings in eastern cities to enter talks to find a political solution or face "force". Arsen Avakov said the situation would "be resolved in 48 hours" either way. Earlier, some of those who had been inside security service offices in Luhansk since Sunday left the building.

 

The EU, Russia, US and Ukraine are to meet next week in the first four-way meeting since the crisis erupted.The talks are aimed at breaking the impasse since Russia annexed the southern Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea in February. Russian troops are now massed along the borders of the two countries. (BBC NEWS, 2014/4/9)

Crimea 'votes for Russia union'

Some 95.5% of voters in Crimea have supported joining Russia, officials say, after half the votes have been counted in a disputed referendum. Crimea's leader says he will apply to join Russia on Monday. Russia's Vladimir Putin has said he will respect the Crimean people's wishes.

 

Many Crimeans loyal to Kiev boycotted the referendum, and the EU and US condemned it as illegal.

 

Pro-Russian forces took control of Crimea in February. They moved in after Ukraine's pro-Moscow president Viktor Yanukovych was ousted after street protests. Pro-Moscow crowds celebrated after voting in the Crimean capital Simferopol Crimea's pro-Moscow leader Sergei Aksyonov celebrated on stage in Simferopol

 

Mr Putin and US President Barack Obama spoke over the phone earlier, with the Kremlin and the White House later releasing contrasting accounts of the conversation. The Kremlin said both men agreed to seek a way to stabilise Ukraine, and that Mr Putin had stressed that the Kiev government had failed to curb "rampant violence by ultra-nationalists". The White House said Mr Obama had insisted that the referendum was illegal and would never be accepted, and called for Moscow to support an international monitoring mission in eastern Ukraine. The EU said in a statement that the vote was "illegal and illegitimate and its outcome will not be recognised". EU foreign ministers are due to meet on Monday and are expected to consider imposing sanctions on Russian officials. (BBC NEWS 2014/3/17)

 

 

 

Zuckerberg 'frustrated' by US spying

Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg has said he has called President Barack Obama to "express frustration" over US digital surveillance. The 29-year-old said in a blog post the US government "should be the champion for the internet, not a threat".

 

His comments come a day after a report the US National Security Agency (NSA) imitated a Facebook server to infect surveillance targets' computers. The NSA said the report was "inaccurate".

 

Mr Zuckerberg said in September that the US "blew it" on internet spying. The tech founder wrote on Thursday "it seems like it will take a very long time for true full reform". (BBC NEWS 2014/3/14)

医薬品業界の市場環境

①iPS細胞をはじめこれまでの治療法を根本から覆すような新しい技術が進展している。
②多種多様な業種が続々と業界に参入している。
③ジェネリック医薬品の使用が促進される中で長期収載品の収益が大幅に圧迫されている。
④薬価改定によってとくに新薬メーカーの市場環境が厳しさを増している。
⑤新薬創出の難易度が上がり、開発の成功確率が低下している。

新薬開発の開発から新薬の市場投入（上市・じょうし）までには10年から15年以上におよぶ時間を要し、この間、莫大な費用と人的資源を投入しなくてはならない。

候補物質が新薬として世に出る確率は、３万分の一とも言われている。（週刊東洋経済 2014/3/15より要約）

Kerry rejects Putin Ukraine meeting

The US secretary of state has rejected a talks offer with Russian President Vladimir Putin until Moscow engages with US proposals on Ukraine's crisis.

 

John Kerry told his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov that Moscow's military intervention in Crimea had made any negotiations extremely difficult.

 

US officials say there will be little to talk about if the referendum on Crimea's future goes ahead. The vote is to be held on Sunday - Ukraine and the West say it is illegal. (BBC NEWS 2014/3/11)

 

国民投票が国家にとってどのような意味を持つのか、また、今回のような軍事侵攻を正当化するのに有効なのかどうか、他の世界情勢に影響を与えかねない。(TS)

Nato jets to monitor Ukraine border

Nato is to deploy reconnaissance planes in Poland and Romania to monitor the Ukrainian crisis. It gave the go-ahead for the flights on Monday, a Nato spokesman said.

 

"All Awacs [Airborne Warning and Control System] reconnaissance flights will take place solely over alliance territory," the official said. It comes as Russia cements its control of Ukraine's Crimea ahead of Sunday's referendum to join Russia. Ukraine and the West say this is illegal.

 

In the latest move on Monday, armed men - said to be Russian troops and local militias - seized a military hospital in Crimea. The attackers marched into the hospital in the regional capital Simferopol, threatening staff and some 30 patients.

 

Pro-Russian troops are also blockading Ukrainian troops across Crimea, which is an autonomous region. Moscow has officially denied that its troops are taking part in the blockades, describing the armed men with no insignia as Crimea's "self-defence" forces.

 

The government in Kiev - as well as the US and EU - accuse Russia of invading Ukraine, in violation of international law. (BBC NEWS 2014/3/11)

 

NATOによるウクライナの状況の監視がはじまりました。「監視」、これは、クリミア半島紛争の長期化を暗示しているのかもしれません。(TS)

Facebook's WhatsApp purchase opposed

Facebook's purchase of mobile messaging service WhatsApp has been opposed by privacy groups. Mark Zuckerberg's firm is planning to buy the company for around £11bn. Opponents want US regulators to stop the deal until Facebook provides more information on what it plans to do with the personal data of WhatsApp's users.

 

But Facebook said it will operate as a separate company and honour existing privacy arrangements, which include not collecting user data for advertising. "WhatsApp built a user-base based on its commitment not to collect user data for advertising revenue," read a complaint filed with the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC). It was drawn up by two non-profit groups, the Electronic Privacy Information Center and the Center for Digital Democracy. They added: "Users provided detailed personal information to the company including private text to close friends. Facebook routinely makes use of user information for advertising purposes and has made clear that it intends to incorporate the data of WhatsApp users into the user profiling business model.

 

"The proposed acquisition will therefore violate WhatsApp users' understanding of their exposure to online advertising and constitutes an unfair and deceptive trade practice, subject to investigation by the Federal Trade Commission." And the groups, which work on research and consumer protection online, asked the regulators to investigate the deal "specifically with regard to the ability of Facebook to access WhatsApp's store of user mobile phone numbers and metadata". (BBC NEWS 2014/3/7)

 

巨大なプラットフォームであるフェイスブックに対する規制当局の対応が注目されます。

Landmark default in China solar firm

Solar panel maker Shanghai Chaori Solar Energy Science & Technology has defaulted on interest payments owed on its bond, say media reports quoting the firm. It is the first Chinese firm ever to default on its onshore corporate bonds.

 

On Tuesday, the firm warned it would be unable to make a 89.8 million yuan ($14.6m; £8.7m) interest payment on a one billion yuan bond issued in 2012. The default is seen as a test case for the Chinese government. Investors have assumed in the past that the Chinese government would bail out any Chinese corporation in danger of defaulting. The move to allow Chaori to default signals a new stance.

 

"There's never been a corporate bond default, [so] investors have been conditioned that there is no such thing as risk in China," Leland Miller, president of research firm China Beige Book, told the BBC. "The Chinese leadership is trying to break down this misunderstanding that everything is backstopped." Chaori Solar said it planned to pay 4 million yuan ($654,000) of the interest payment due on the billion yuan bond, which was taken out two years ago.

 

Up until now, the Chinese government and state-owned banks have helped bail out or provide last-minute loans to Chinese firms in trouble. That has led many investors to park their funds in the corporate bonds of many Chinese firms, on the belief that the government would help ensure that these firms could continue to repay their debts. However, a significant portion of this debt is set to mature in 2014 - with more than $1.5 trillion of corporate bonds outstanding at the end of January. "There's not enough money in the world to bail everything out," said Mr Miller.

 

 

Chaori Solar took out a $1bn bond two years ago to help finance operations

That is why the Chinese government may be making a strategic decision to let some firms fail - particularly those, like Chaori, that may not have a huge knock-on effect in the market. China's solar industry has been suffering from an overcapacity problem for some time, as cheap financing and local government support led to a glut of firms entering the industry. That has led to a sharp fall in price, and the Chinese government has since hinted that it supports consolidation in the industry.

 

Other Chinese solar panel firms, like LDK Solar, have already defaulted on bonds issued outside China.

 

"This is something they need to do - that the government has to do - in order to address the over capacity in many industries," Fitch Ratings' Kalai Pillay told the BBC. (BBC NEWS 2014/3/7)

US economy adds 175,000 new jobs

The US economy added 175,000 new jobs in February, but the unemployment rate rose slightly to 6.7%.

 

The jobs figures, from the US Labor Department, were better than many had been expecting and marked a rebound from two weak months. It had been thought the figures would be affected by recent harsh weather, which had hit much of the country.

 

But the unemployment rate, based on different statistics, went up slightly from January's 6.6% to 6.7%.

 

February's jobs figure, known as non-farm payrolls and based on a survey of employers, compares with the 129,000 new jobs created in January. Analysts had been expecting a rise of about 150,000 last month. (BBC NEWS 2014/03/07)

Crimea vote will not be recognised

Ukraine's interim prime minister has warned the Crimean parliament "no-one in the civilised world" will recognise its referendum on joining Russia. Arseniy Yatsenyuk and others in the Kiev government have called the vote "unconstitutional" and "illegitimate".

 

But the referendum has the support of the Russian parliament. The speaker of the upper house said if the Crimean people vote on 16 March to join Russia then they would "unquestionably back this choice". The decision by Crimean MPs to seek to join the Russian Federation comes amid international tensions over the presence of pro-Russian troops in the southern Ukrainian peninsula.

 

The Kremlin said, after a telephone conversation between President Vladimir Putin and his US counterpart Barack Obama, that differences remained in their approach and assessment of the crisis.

 

Meanwhile, Ukraine's Paralympic team has confirmed it will take part in the Sochi Winter Paralympics, which begins later.

 

The head of the team, Valeriy Sushkevich, said they would participate "so they remember us, remember Ukraine - a sovereign state, which sent its athletes here". But he said: "If something major happens, Ukraine will leave the Games immediately". (BBC NEWS 2014/3/7)

Interest rates policy of ECB today

The European Central Bank will update its interest rates policy in a few hours. Sarah Hewin, from Standard Chartered, told World Business Report the bank "will probably keep interest rates on hold" at the current 0.25%, as the risk of deflation has decreased. Some observers are worried that the rate will be cut to 0%. (BBC NEWS 2014/3/6)

米海軍艦船が黒海の海域に入る予定

イタル・タス通信は３月５日、ロシア黒海艦隊消息筋の話として、今週末に米海軍艦船が黒海の海域に入る予定だと報じた。事実ならクリミアのセバストポールに司令部を置く黒海艦隊への牽制が目的とみられる。（産経　2014/3/6）